Survivor Optimizer
Live odds
Built with Splash Sports
Splash × Polymarket $21,000,000 Survivor World Championship is the biggest guaranteed survivor prize pool ever. $1,000 per entry, up to 150 entries. Plan your entries here, submit them on Splash.Contest live · picks lock at each week's first kickoffEnter on Splash →Exclusive Offer for PredictQ Community: Submit 10 Paid Survivor Entries and Get 1 Free Entry (Counts for Both $3M and $21M Contests).NOTE: Must use
Splash × Polymarket $21,000,000 Survivor World Championship is the biggest guaranteed survivor prize pool ever. $1,000 per entry, up to 150 entries. Plan your entries here, submit them on Splash.Contest live · picks lock at each week's first kickoffEnter on Splash →Exclusive Offer for PredictQ Community: Submit 10 Paid Survivor Entries and Get 1 Free Entry (Counts for Both $3M and $21M Contests).NOTE: Must use PREDICTQ Promo Code or our link to the right to join. Allow 24 hours for free entry credit to be added to account.Guest boardPicks are not saved while signed out
Week 1 · Best Available Pick
LAC 78.3% win · 1.02 EV
Highest pick equity Guest board can still use
Path Survival
-
Nothing planned yet, pick a week below or hit Optimize Path
Entry Health
35 /100
Path odds + remaining team strength + plan coverage
Week 1 · Field Risk
30.7%
Modeled share of national entries eliminated · locks -
Click a week cell to pick that team for the active entry · click a team name to lock it out
The path, week by week, each team used once
Wk 1
LAC
LAC
78%
Wk 2
LOCKED
--
Wk 3
LOCKED
--
Wk 4
LOCKED
--
Wk 5
LOCKED
--
Wk 6
LOCKED
--
Wk 7
LOCKED
--
Wk 8
LOCKED
--
Wk 9 ×2
LOCKED
--
Wk 10
LOCKED
--
Wk 11
LOCKED
--
Wk 12 ×2
LOCKED
--
Wk 13 ×2
LOCKED
--
Wk 14 ×2
LOCKED
--
Wk 15 ×2
LOCKED
--
Wk 16 ×2
LOCKED
--
Wk 17
LOCKED
--
Wk 18
LOCKED
--
| Posted market lines | Locked, create a free account | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Plan | EV | W% | P% | FV | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9² | 10 | 11 | 12² | 13² | 14² | 15² | 16² | 17 | 18 |
| LACLACCHALK | 1 | 1.02 | 78.3 | 34.7 | ARI-10.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
JAX JAX | - | 0.97 | 71.1 | 14.7 | CLE-7.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
DET DET | - | 0.96 | 69.9 | 12.5 | NO-7 | ||||||||||||||||||
PHI PHI | - | 0.92 | 65.9 | 7.4 | WSH-5.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
BAL BAL | - | 0.85 | 60.3 | 3.3 | @IND-3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
CIN CIN | - | 0.85 | 60.3 | 3.3 | TB-3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
LAR LAR | - | 0.85 | 60.3 | 3.3 | SF-3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
LV LV | - | 0.85 | 60.3 | 3.3 | MIA-3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
PIT PIT | - | 0.85 | 60.3 | 3.3 | ATL-3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
SEA SEA | - | 0.85 | 60.3 | 3.3 | NE-3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
KC KC | - | 0.84 | 58.8 | 2.7 | DEN-3 | ||||||||||||||||||
CHI CHI | - | 0.82 | 57.4 | 2.1 | @CAR-2.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
DAL DAL | - | 0.82 | 57.4 | 2.1 | @NYG-2.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
BUF BUF | - | 0.78 | 54.4 | 1.3 | @HOU-1.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
MIN MIN | - | 0.78 | 54.4 | 1.3 | GB-1.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
TEN TEN | - | 0.78 | 54.4 | 1.3 | NYJ-1.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
GB GB | - | 0.66 | 45.6 | 0.0 | @MIN+1.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
HOU HOU | - | 0.66 | 45.6 | 0.0 | BUF+1.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
NYJ NYJ | - | 0.66 | 45.6 | 0.0 | @TEN+1.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
CAR CAR | - | 0.61 | 42.6 | 0.0 | CHI+2.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
NYG NYG | - | 0.61 | 42.6 | 0.0 | DAL+2.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
DEN DEN | - | 0.59 | 41.2 | 0.0 | @KC+3 | ||||||||||||||||||
ATL ATL | - | 0.57 | 39.7 | 0.0 | @PIT+3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
IND IND | - | 0.57 | 39.7 | 0.0 | BAL+3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
MIA MIA | - | 0.57 | 39.7 | 0.0 | @LV+3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
NE NE | - | 0.57 | 39.7 | 0.0 | @SEA+3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
SF SF | - | 0.57 | 39.7 | 0.0 | @LAR+3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
TB TB | - | 0.57 | 39.7 | 0.0 | @CIN+3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
WSH WSH | - | 0.49 | 34.1 | 0.0 | @PHI+5.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
NO NO | - | 0.43 | 30.1 | 0.0 | @DET+7 | ||||||||||||||||||
CLE CLE | - | 0.42 | 28.9 | 0.0 | @JAX+7.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
ARI ARI | - | 0.31 | 21.7 | 0.0 | @LAC+10.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
Higher win probLower win probYour pickDivisional gameEV above 1.00 beats the average pool pick
Posted market lines versus our projections is marked in the band above the week numbers. Where books have not opened a game yet, W% comes from PredictQ power ratings. A * flags a single unposted game inside a week that otherwise has lines.
P% is modeled from win probabilities and pick availability patterns, not a live pool feed, so treat it as directional. It counts entries rather than picks, so a double pick week totals 200%. W% converts the live point spread to a win probability. The blue dot marks a divisional game, where rivalry variance is higher.
Planning against a field of 22,700 entries, under Splash × Polymarket $21M rules.