Research & Analysis
The edge, written down
Expert breakdowns, strategy notes, and the sharpest signals from the prediction market ecosystem.
An Open Letter to the Company Acquiring Underdog Fantasy
My fear, which I know from talking to other badge-wearers is widely shared: What happens to the app I love?...
Trevor Glisson· · 8 min read
The Creator Economy Meets Prediction Markets: Why 2026 Will Be the Year of Market Influencers
The Creator Economy Meets Prediction Markets: Why 2026 Will Be the Year of Market Influencers I've spent the last decade as a semi-professional daily ...
PredictQ Team· · 5 min
What’s Hot – The PredictQ Culture Radar
Week of August 17, 2026. Big Brother and GTA VI are the headliners. Every Monday, we run hundreds of topics across thousands of active Kalshi Entertai...
Trevor Glisson· · 5 min
Prediction Markets 101: The Questions You're Too Embarrassed to Ask
What a prediction market is A prediction market is an exchange where you buy and sell contracts tied to whether a specific event happens. Every contra...
PredictQ Team· · 11 min
Why I’m Forever Done with Futures Bets on Sportsbooks
Last year I placed a $100 bet on Drake Maye to win MVP at +6600 odds during the preseason. By late December, after Maye torched the Jets with five tou...
Justin Herzig· · 5 min
How to Trade Politics on Kalshi and Polymarket
Take the ask on a coin-flip political market and you’re paying about what a sportsbook charges. The advantage is real, it just lives somewhere specifi...
PredictQ Team· · 7 min
The Kalshi Midterms Hub, Reviewed
Kalshi’s hub is a run at the job Cook Political Report has held for forty years, and it mostly works. What each piece is for, the 27 point parlay hidi...
PredictQ Team· · 7 min
Best Prediction Markets in 2026: Complete Comparison of All 10 Major Platforms
June 2026 was the single busiest month in the history of this industry. Robinhood’s exchange venture Rothera went live June 4. The CFTC approved Proph...
PredictQ Team· · 14 min
5 Ways to Make Money in Prediction Markets
The #1 question I get from people new to prediction markets is what should I be doing to make money. That’s no surprise given the way these platforms ...
Justin Herzig· · 9 min
Polymarket vs ProphetX: Broad CFTC Exchange or Sports-Native Peer-to-Peer Exchange?
ProphetX pulled it off. On June 11, 2026 the CFTC approved it as both a designated contract market and a clearinghouse, the first sports-native exchan...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Polymarket vs Underdog Predict: Broad Markets or DFS Integration?
Underdog Predict exists for one type of person: someone who already has the Underdog Fantasy app open. It lives as a tab inside the same app as pick’e...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Polymarket vs OG.com: Two Crypto-Adjacent Prediction Markets Compared
Crypto.com wants a piece of prediction markets badly enough that it built a whole separate brand for it. OG.com launched February 3, 2026, powered and...
PredictQ Team· · 5 min
Polymarket vs Novig: Established CFTC Exchange or Peer-to-Peer Sports Upstart?
Novig got its CFTC license. On June 16, 2026, the agency designated Novig’s Ludlow Exchange LLC as a contract market, one of the fastest approvals on ...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Polymarket vs Coinbase Predict: Two Crypto-Native Approaches Compared
Two platforms courting the same crypto-native trader, built on opposite architectures. Polymarket owns its exchange: it bought QCEX, a CFTC-licensed e...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Polymarket vs FanDuel Predicts: Political Markets or Sportsbook Brand?
FanDuel Predicts killed its best feature. Through early June 2026, its $25 welcome bonus required no deposit at all; you verified your identity and go...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Polymarket vs DraftKings Predictions: Crypto-Native Exchange or Sportsbook-Style Prediction Markets?
DraftKings Predictions will not sell you a sports contract if you live in a state where DraftKings Sportsbook operates. Read that again, because it de...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Polymarket vs Robinhood: Crypto-Native Exchange or Brokerage Integration?
By June 2026, Polymarket’s regulated U.S. platform was clearing over $200 million in daily volume and passed a $1 billion annualized revenue run rate....
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Kalshi vs ProphetX: CFTC Exchange or Sports-Native Peer-to-Peer?
ProphetX pulled it off. On June 11, 2026, the CFTC approved it as both a designated contract market and a clearinghouse, the first sports-native excha...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Kalshi vs Underdog Predict: Broad Categories or DFS Integration?
Underdog Predict lives inside the Underdog Fantasy app, one tab over from the pick’em contests and best ball drafts that built one of the biggest DFS ...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Kalshi vs OG.com: Established Exchange or Crypto.com-Powered Brokerage?
OG.com is Crypto.com’s swing at prediction markets, launched February 3, 2026 and powered by Crypto.com | Derivatives North America (CDNA), a CFTC-reg...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Kalshi vs Novig: CFTC Regulated or Peer-to-Peer Sweepstakes?
Novig got its CFTC exchange license. On June 16, 2026, the agency designated Novig’s Ludlow Exchange LLC as a contract market, one of the fastest appr...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Kalshi vs Coinbase Predict: Direct Access or Crypto Integration?
Every trade you place on Coinbase Predict executes on Kalshi’s order book. That single fact frames this whole comparison. Coinbase Financial Markets i...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Kalshi vs FanDuel Predicts: Which Prediction Market Fits Your Strategy?
FanDuel Predicts is what happens when the biggest US sportsbook partners with the biggest US derivatives exchange. It’s a joint venture between FanDue...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Kalshi vs DraftKings Predictions: Which Sports Prediction Market Wins?
Start with the fact that decides this comparison for most readers: DraftKings Predictions only offers sports contracts in 18 states, and they’re exact...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Kalshi vs Robinhood: Direct Exchange or Brokerage Routing?
For a year, “Kalshi vs Robinhood” was a trick question. Robinhood routed every event contract to Kalshi’s order book, so you were comparing Kalshi to ...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Is Right for You?
A year ago this was the coin-flip comparison in prediction markets. It isn’t anymore. In May 2026, Kalshi did $17.9 billion in monthly turnover to Pol...
PredictQ Team· · 7 min
How Does OG.com Work? A Complete Guide for New Traders
OG.com is Crypto.com’s standalone prediction market platform, live since February 3, 2026. Five months in, it has carved out a specific identity: spor...
PredictQ Team· · 4 min
How to Withdraw from OG.com: A Complete Guide
OG.com charges nothing to withdraw. Bank transfers land in 1-3 business days, debit card withdrawals often arrive within hours, and crypto withdrawals...
PredictQ Team· · 3 min
OG.com Fees: A Complete Breakdown for 2026
OG.com’s entire fee schedule fits in one sentence: $0.02 per contract to open, $0.02 per contract to close early, and $0 at settlement, win or lose. N...
PredictQ Team· · 3 min
Is OG.com Legal? The Complete 2026 Breakdown
OG.com is legal in 48 states plus Washington, D.C. It operates under federal CFTC regulation through Crypto.com | Derivatives North America (CDNA), th...
PredictQ Team· · 4 min
How to Sign Up for OG.com: A Step-by-Step Guide
Signing up for OG.com takes 10-15 minutes for most people, and the account you finish with is the same one that collects the up to $100 welcome bonus....
PredictQ Team· · 5 min
Is OG.com Legit? Inside Crypto.com’s Standalone Prediction Market
Yes, OG.com is legit. It runs on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America (CDNA), a CFTC-registered Designated Contract Market and Derivatives Clearing ...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
OG.com Promo Code 2026: How the $100 Welcome Bonus Works
OG.com pays new users up to $100 in bonuses, and unlike most welcome offers in this space, the money is tied entirely to trading volume. You get your ...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
OG.com Review 2026
OG.com is the newest of the major CFTC-regulated prediction market platforms, and the most aggressively built. Crypto.com spun it out of the main app ...
PredictQ Team· · 8 min
How Does Novig Work? A Complete Guide for New Traders
Novig looks like a sportsbook, trades like an exchange, and currently operates under a legal structure different from both. That last part is changing...
PredictQ Team· · 7 min
How to Withdraw from Novig: A Complete Guide
Withdrawing from Novig, technically “redeeming” under the current sweepstakes structure, is free, reliable, and usually done inside 48 hours. The plat...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Novig Fees: A Complete Breakdown for 2026
Novig charges nothing on trades. No commission, no transaction fee, no spread markup. The name is the fee schedule: where a sportsbook builds a 4-5% m...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Is Novig Legal? The Complete 2026 Breakdown
Yes, Novig is legal, and as of June 16, 2026 it holds a federal license that settles the question more decisively than any sweepstakes analysis could....
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
How to Sign Up for Novig: A Step-by-Step Guide
Signing up for Novig takes about ten minutes, and most of that is identity verification. Three requirements to know upfront: the platform is mobile-on...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Is Novig Legit? Inside the No-Vig Sports Exchange
The strongest answer to “is Novig legit” arrived on June 16, 2026, when the CFTC approved Novig’s Designated Contract Market application. A federal re...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Novig Promo Code 2026: How the Spend $5, Get $50 Offer Works
Five dollars gets you fifty on Novig. The standing welcome offer is Spend $5, Get $50 in Novig Coins, and most promo codes also bundle 1,000 free Novi...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Novig Review 2026
On June 16, 2026, the CFTC approved Novig’s application to run a federally regulated Designated Contract Market through its entity Ludlow Exchange LLC...
PredictQ Team· · 9 min
How Does FanDuel Predicts Work? A Complete Guide for New Traders
FanDuel Predicts is a joint venture between FanDuel Group and CME Group, launched December 22, 2025. You trade binary Yes/No event contracts on sports...
PredictQ Team· · 4 min
How to Withdraw from FanDuel Predicts: A Complete Guide
Withdrawing from FanDuel Predicts is free, and it runs on the same payment rails FanDuel already uses for millions of sportsbook and DFS customers. De...
PredictQ Team· · 3 min
FanDuel Predicts Fees: A Complete Breakdown for 2026
FanDuel Predicts charges one fee: a flat 2% on payouts. Winning settlements and early sell-offs pay it. Losing trades don’t pay anything beyond the lo...
PredictQ Team· · 3 min
Is FanDuel Predicts Legal? The Complete 2026 Breakdown
FanDuel Predicts is legal in all 50 states plus Washington, D.C. for non-sports event contracts (commodities, financials, economics, crypto). Sports e...
PredictQ Team· · 5 min
How to Sign Up for FanDuel Predicts: A Step-by-Step Guide
Budget 10 to 15 minutes to get from download to first trade on FanDuel Predicts. The platform is mobile-only, running through a standalone app that’s ...
PredictQ Team· · 5 min
Is FanDuel Predicts Legit? Inside the FanDuel-CME Group Joint Venture
Yes, FanDuel Predicts is legit, and the case is shorter than most platforms can make. It’s operated by FanDuel Prediction Markets LLC, a CFTC-register...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
FanDuel Predicts Promo Code 2026: The $25 Welcome Bonus, Explained
First, the correction you won’t find on most affiliate pages: FanDuel Predicts’ famous $25 no-deposit bonus is dead. That version, where $25 appeared ...
PredictQ Team· · 7 min
FanDuel Predicts Review 2026
FanDuel Predicts is the only major prediction market still running on CME Group’s exchange, and that’s now its defining feature. DraftKings left CME i...
PredictQ Team· · 8 min
How Does DraftKings Predictions Work? A Complete Guide for New Traders
DraftKings Predictions is a sportsbook company’s take on a prediction market: binary Yes/No event contracts on sports, financial, and macroeconomic ou...
PredictQ Team· · 8 min
How to Withdraw from DraftKings Predictions: A Complete Guide
Withdrawing from DraftKings Predictions is free, and most payouts land within 24–72 hours depending on method. The product runs on the same payments i...
PredictQ Team· · 5 min
DraftKings Predictions Fees: A Complete Breakdown for 2026
DraftKings Predictions charges a tiered per-contract commission: $0.01 per contract when the price is between $0.01–$0.19 or $0.97–$0.99, and $0.02 pe...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Is DraftKings Predictions Legal? The Complete 2026 Breakdown
Yes, DraftKings Predictions is legal. It operates under federal CFTC regulation through GUS III LLC d/b/a DraftKings Predictions, a CFTC-registered In...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
How to Sign Up for DraftKings Predictions: A Step-by-Step Guide
Ten minutes, start to first trade. That’s the realistic timeline for a brand-new DraftKings Predictions account, including identity verification. If y...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min