Research & Analysis
The edge, written down
Expert breakdowns, strategy notes, and the sharpest signals from the prediction market ecosystem.
Prediction Markets With "The Whistleblower": How Caleb Davies Trades Music, Movies and Midterms
Caleb Davies (Gaeten Dugas) on the Spotify market that made him Netflix's "Whistleblower," modeling Rotten Tomatoes, trading the midterms, and the beg...


The Man Behind the Biggest Newsletter in Prediction Markets
The PM Pulse founder Sam Schwartz on how combos inflate volume, who's gaining ground behind Kalshi and Polymarket, what ProphetX taught him, and why b...

The Tools Changing Prediction Markets: Krish on Building a Proving Ground for Traders
Krish, builder of the risk-free competition platform juke, on track records over screenshots, live trading edges in football, common trader mistakes, ...

Why Betting Is Broken and What Comes Next: Inside BetOpenly With Gino
BetOpenly founder Gino on de-vigged peer-to-peer pricing, why better prices alone haven't won over retail bettors, housing parlays, and why a universa...

How a Top Prediction Market Trader Finds an Edge: Inside Domer's Process
Domer, one of the top prediction market traders, on pricing events that have never happened, Kelly sizing, his six-figure James Bond position, the fiv...

From Fantasy Football to Prediction Markets: How Justin Herzig Finds an Edge
PredictQ co-founder Justin Herzig on groupthink, pricing, market making in thin fantasy markets, the in-game mistake that cost him edge, and how he'd ...

How a Prediction Market Trader Finds an Edge: Brett Hartfiel Interview
How a Prediction Market Trader Finds an Edge: Brett Hartfiel Interview A Q&A with Brett Hartfiel The Prediction Market Show, Episode 1 · PredictQ Sour...