Research & Analysis
The edge, written down
Expert breakdowns, strategy notes, and the sharpest signals from the prediction market ecosystem.
Thursday Night Forecast: Week 4 NFL Markets, Weather and Matchups
Kevin Roth and Brian Hartman break down Week 4 NFL prediction markets, the weather that moves them, and the matchups worth a position. Watch live....
PredictQ Team· · 1 min read
How a Top Prediction Market Trader Finds an Edge: Inside Domer's Process
Domer, one of the top prediction market traders, on pricing events that have never happened, Kelly sizing, his six-figure James Bond position, the fiv...
PredictQ Team· · 29 min
Thursday Night Forecast: Week 3 NFL Markets, Weather and Matchups
Kevin Roth and Brian Hartman break down Week 3 NFL prediction markets, the weather that moves them, and the matchups worth a position. Watch live....
PredictQ Team· · 1 min
From Fantasy Football to Prediction Markets: How Justin Herzig Finds an Edge
PredictQ co-founder Justin Herzig on groupthink, pricing, market making in thin fantasy markets, the in-game mistake that cost him edge, and how he'd ...
PredictQ Team· · 27 min
Thursday Night Forecast: Week 2 NFL Markets, Weather and Matchups
Kevin Roth and Brian Hartman break down Week 2 NFL prediction markets, the weather that moves them, and the matchups worth a position. Watch live....
PredictQ Team· · 1 min
Novig Just Crossed $1 Billion in Trading Volume
Novig's CEO says the platform passed $1 billion in trading volume weeks after launching its prediction market. What's actually driving it, what the Sy...
PredictQ Team· · 7 min
What Circa's Week 1 Ownership Tells Us About the Splash Field
Circa posts its survivor ownership every Saturday night. Week 1 shows how closely it maps to the Splash field, where the two diverge most, and what we...
PredictQ Team· · 2 min
Thursday Night Forecast: Week 1 NFL Markets, Weather and Matchups
Kevin Roth and Brian Hartman break down Week 1 NFL prediction markets, the weather that moves them, and the matchups worth a position. Watch the full ...
PredictQ Team· · 1 min
How a Prediction Market Trader Finds an Edge: Brett Hartfiel Interview
How a Prediction Market Trader Finds an Edge: Brett Hartfiel Interview A Q&A with Brett Hartfiel The Prediction Market Show, Episode 1 · PredictQ Sour...
PredictQ Team· · 22 min
EXCLUSIVE: Buy 10, Get 1 Free On Splash Sports Survivor Contests
Code PREDICTQ adds a free 11th entry for every 10 you buy into either Splash Sports NFL Survivor contest, the $21M World Championship or the $3M Big S...
PredictQ Team· · 5 min
Survivor Freeroll Official Rules
Every rule for the SplashSports x Polymarket x PredictQ Survivor Freeroll: who can enter, what you owe us each day, how scoring works, how the winner ...
PredictQ Team· · 8 min
FREEROLL ALERT: We're Giving Away a $1,000 Seat in the $21M Survivor Pool
PredictQ is running a free 7-day Survivor contest on Polymarket. Win it and you get a $1,000 entry into the $21M guaranteed Splash Sports x Polymarket...
PredictQ Team· · 5 min
You’ve Been Paying a Tax on Every Bet You’ve Ever Made. Here’s How Much.
There’s a number sitting somewhere in your betting history that nobody has ever shown you....
PredictQ Team· · 4 min
How to Trade Politics on Kalshi and Polymarket
Take the ask on a coin-flip political market and you’re paying about what a sportsbook charges. The advantage is real, it just lives somewhere specifi...
PredictQ Team· · 7 min
The Kalshi Midterms Hub, Reviewed
Kalshi’s hub is a run at the job Cook Political Report has held for forty years, and it mostly works. What each piece is for, the 27 point parlay hidi...
PredictQ Team· · 7 min
Prediction Markets 101: The Questions You're Too Embarrassed to Ask
What a prediction market is A prediction market is an exchange where you buy and sell contracts tied to whether a specific event happens. Every contra...
PredictQ Team· · 11 min
Best Prediction Markets in 2026: Complete Comparison of All 10 Major Platforms
June 2026 was the single busiest month in the history of this industry. Robinhood’s exchange venture Rothera went live June 4....
PredictQ Team· · 16 min
Polymarket vs ProphetX: Broad CFTC Exchange or Sports-Native Peer-to-Peer Exchange?
ProphetX pulled it off. On June 11, 2026 the CFTC approved it as both a designated contract market and a clearinghouse, the first sports-native exchan...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Polymarket vs Underdog Predict: Broad Markets or DFS Integration?
Underdog Predict exists for one type of person: someone who already has the Underdog Fantasy app open. It lives as a tab inside the same app as pick’e...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Polymarket vs OG.com: Two Crypto-Adjacent Prediction Markets Compared
Crypto.com wants a piece of prediction markets badly enough that it built a whole separate brand for it. OG.com launched February 3, 2026, powered and...
PredictQ Team· · 5 min
Polymarket vs Novig: Established CFTC Exchange or Peer-to-Peer Sports Upstart?
The upstart shipped. Novig’s regulated exchange is live, the sweepstakes app is retired, and the CFTC designation behind it (Ludlow Exchange LLC, appr...
PredictQ Team· · 5 min
Polymarket vs Coinbase Predict: Two Crypto-Native Approaches Compared
Two platforms courting the same crypto-native trader, built on opposite architectures. Polymarket owns its exchange: it bought QCEX, a CFTC-licensed e...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Polymarket vs FanDuel Predicts: Political Markets or Sportsbook Brand?
FanDuel Predicts killed its best feature. Through early June 2026, its $25 welcome bonus required no deposit at all; you verified your identity and go...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Polymarket vs DraftKings Predictions: Crypto-Native Exchange or Sportsbook-Style Prediction Markets?
DraftKings Predictions will not sell you a sports contract if you live in a state where DraftKings Sportsbook operates. Read that again, because it de...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Polymarket vs Robinhood: Crypto-Native Exchange or Brokerage Integration?
By June 2026, Polymarket’s regulated U.S. platform was clearing over $200 million in daily volume and passed a $1 billion annualized revenue run rate....
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Kalshi vs ProphetX: CFTC Exchange or Sports-Native Peer-to-Peer?
ProphetX pulled it off. On June 11, 2026, the CFTC approved it as both a designated contract market and a clearinghouse, the first sports-native excha...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Kalshi vs Underdog Predict: Broad Categories or DFS Integration?
Underdog Predict lives inside the Underdog Fantasy app, one tab over from the pick’em contests and best ball drafts that built one of the biggest DFS ...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Kalshi vs OG.com: Established Exchange or Crypto.com-Powered Brokerage?
OG.com is Crypto.com’s swing at prediction markets, launched February 3, 2026 and powered by Crypto.com | Derivatives North America (CDNA), a CFTC-reg...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Kalshi vs Novig: Broad Event Exchange or Sports-Native No-Vig Exchange?
Novig’s regulated exchange is live. The CFTC designated its Ludlow Exchange LLC as a contract market on June 16, 2026, roughly five months after filin...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Kalshi vs Coinbase Predict: Direct Access or Crypto Integration?
Every trade you place on Coinbase Predict executes on Kalshi’s order book. That single fact frames this whole comparison. Coinbase Financial Markets i...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Kalshi vs FanDuel Predicts: Which Prediction Market Fits Your Strategy?
FanDuel Predicts is what happens when the biggest US sportsbook partners with the biggest US derivatives exchange. It’s a joint venture between FanDue...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Kalshi vs DraftKings Predictions: Which Sports Prediction Market Wins?
Start with the fact that decides this comparison for most readers: DraftKings Predictions only offers sports contracts in 18 states, and they’re exact...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Kalshi vs Robinhood: Direct Exchange or Brokerage Routing?
For a year, “Kalshi vs Robinhood” was a trick question. Robinhood routed every event contract to Kalshi’s order book, so you were comparing Kalshi to ...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Is Right for You?
A year ago this was the coin-flip comparison in prediction markets. It isn’t anymore. In May 2026, Kalshi did $17.9 billion in monthly turnover to Pol...
PredictQ Team· · 7 min
How Does OG.com Work? A Complete Guide for New Traders
OG.com is Crypto.com’s standalone prediction market platform, live since February 3, 2026. Five months in, it has carved out a specific identity: spor...
PredictQ Team· · 4 min
How to Withdraw from OG.com: A Complete Guide
OG.com charges nothing to withdraw. Bank transfers land in 1-3 business days, debit card withdrawals often arrive within hours, and crypto withdrawals...
PredictQ Team· · 3 min
OG.com Fees: A Complete Breakdown for 2026
OG.com’s entire fee schedule fits in one sentence: $0.02 per contract to open, $0.02 per contract to close early, and $0 at settlement, win or lose. N...
PredictQ Team· · 3 min
Is OG.com Legal? The Complete 2026 Breakdown
OG.com is legal in 48 states plus Washington, D.C. It operates under federal CFTC regulation through Crypto.com | Derivatives North America (CDNA), th...
PredictQ Team· · 4 min
How to Sign Up for OG.com: A Step-by-Step Guide
Signing up for OG.com takes 10-15 minutes for most people, and the account you finish with is the same one that collects the up to $100 welcome bonus....
PredictQ Team· · 5 min
Is OG.com Legit? Inside Crypto.com’s Standalone Prediction Market
Yes, OG.com is legit. It runs on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America (CDNA), a CFTC-registered Designated Contract Market and Derivatives Clearing ...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
OG.com Promo Code 2026: How the $100 Welcome Bonus Works
OG.com pays new users up to $100 in bonuses, and unlike most welcome offers in this space, the money is tied entirely to trading volume. You get your ...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
OG.com Review 2026
OG.com is the newest of the major CFTC-regulated prediction market platforms, and the most aggressively built. Crypto.com spun it out of the main app ...
PredictQ Team· · 8 min
How Does Novig Work? A Complete Guide for New Traders
Novig looks like a sportsbook, trades like a stock exchange, and answers to a federal regulator....
PredictQ Team· · 7 min
How to Withdraw from Novig: A Complete Guide
Withdrawing from Novig works the way it should on a regulated exchange: your balance is real dollars, and it flows back to the bank account you linked...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Novig Fees: A Complete Breakdown for 2026
The name is the pricing model. Novig runs no-vig, peer-to-peer markets: members trade against each other at prices the market sets, and no house margi...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Is Novig Legal? The Complete 2026 Breakdown
Yes. Novig is legal, and the answer now comes with a federal license attached....
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
How to Sign Up for Novig: A Step-by-Step Guide
Signing up for Novig takes about ten minutes, and most of that is identity verification....
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Is Novig Legit? Inside the No-Vig Sports Exchange
The shortest honest answer to “is Novig legit” is a date: June 16, 2026....
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Novig Promo Code 2026: How the Deposit $10, Get $25 Offer Works
Novig’s current welcome offer is straightforward: deposit $10 or more and receive $25 in Trade Credits. Terms and conditions apply, and you must be 21...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
Novig Review 2026
Novig is live as a federally regulated sports prediction market, available nationwide. That sentence would have been fantasy eighteen months ago....
PredictQ Team· · 7 min
How Does FanDuel Predicts Work? A Complete Guide for New Traders
FanDuel Predicts is a joint venture between FanDuel Group and CME Group, launched December 22, 2025. You trade binary Yes/No event contracts on sports...
PredictQ Team· · 4 min
How to Withdraw from FanDuel Predicts: A Complete Guide
Withdrawing from FanDuel Predicts is free, and it runs on the same payment rails FanDuel already uses for millions of sportsbook and DFS customers. De...
PredictQ Team· · 3 min
FanDuel Predicts Fees: A Complete Breakdown for 2026
FanDuel Predicts charges one fee: a flat 2% on payouts. Winning settlements and early sell-offs pay it. Losing trades don’t pay anything beyond the lo...
PredictQ Team· · 3 min
Is FanDuel Predicts Legal? The Complete 2026 Breakdown
FanDuel Predicts is legal in all 50 states plus Washington, D.C. for non-sports event contracts (commodities, financials, economics, crypto). Sports e...
PredictQ Team· · 5 min
How to Sign Up for FanDuel Predicts: A Step-by-Step Guide
Budget 10 to 15 minutes to get from download to first trade on FanDuel Predicts. The platform is mobile-only, running through a standalone app that’s ...
PredictQ Team· · 5 min
Is FanDuel Predicts Legit? Inside the FanDuel-CME Group Joint Venture
Yes, FanDuel Predicts is legit, and the case is shorter than most platforms can make. It’s operated by FanDuel Prediction Markets LLC, a CFTC-register...
PredictQ Team· · 6 min
FanDuel Predicts Promo Code 2026: The $25 Welcome Bonus, Explained
First, the correction you won’t find on most affiliate pages: FanDuel Predicts’ famous $25 no-deposit bonus is dead. That version, where $25 appeared ...
PredictQ Team· · 7 min
FanDuel Predicts Review 2026
FanDuel Predicts is the only major prediction market still running on CME Group’s exchange, and that’s now its defining feature. DraftKings left CME i...
PredictQ Team· · 8 min
How Does DraftKings Predictions Work? A Complete Guide for New Traders
DraftKings Predictions is a sportsbook company’s take on a prediction market: binary Yes/No event contracts on sports, financial, and macroeconomic ou...
PredictQ Team· · 8 min