Loading live markets…

Research & Analysis

The edge, written down

Expert breakdowns, strategy notes, and the sharpest signals from the prediction market ecosystem.

Featured
EducationClimate

Forecast Biases in Models and Cities

Understanding biases in temperature forecasts can allow traders to make more informed decisions about which cities are more consistent or more volatil...

Peter NickersonPeter Nickerson· · 4 min read
Read the analysis →
Forecast Biases in Models and Cities