Research & Analysis
The edge, written down
Expert breakdowns, strategy notes, and the sharpest signals from the prediction market ecosystem.
Week 9 Market Movers: Burrow Passes Allen, Harbaugh Pulls Away, and a Rookie Race Nobody Wants to Win
MVP has a new leader, ROY is a mess and Harbaugh dominating COY....
Trevor Glisson· · 8 min read
Kalshi and Polymarket Fantasy Finish Markets: Week 9
Note: This article is first published on Thursdays with updates included Friday morning to account for the latest injury news, projections, and the re...
Cole Wyman· · 6 min
The PredictQ Culture Radar: Disney Night Pressure, Callum Turner might be the new Bond, and a Crowded Tomatometer
Dancing with the Stars double elimination fallout, a new James Bond and GTA VI keeps holding volume...
Trevor Glisson· · 13 min
Kalshi and Polymarket Fantasy Finish Markets: Week 8
Note: This article is first published on Thursdays with updates included Friday morning to account for the latest injury news, projections, and the re...
Cole Wyman· · 8 min
Which Weather Forecast Model Is Best? A 20-City Accuracy Comparison
Which weather model is most accurate? Comparing ICON, GFS, NWS, and Ensemble forecasts across 20 U.S. cities reveals that no single model performs bes...
Peter Nickerson· · 5 min
Week 7 Market Movers: Harbaugh's Takeover, Burrow Takes Purdy’s Lunch Money, and the Niners' Red Week
Harbaugh leads for COY, JSN passes Gibbs and Tate retains OROY....
Trevor Glisson· · 9 min
Kalshi and S&P Want to Build an Index of Everything
S&P Dow Jones Indices and Kalshi plan indices built from event contracts, plus Kalshi contracts that settle to official S&P data. Here's the math, who...
PredictQ Team· · 8 min
Kalshi and Polymarket Fantasy Finish Markets: Week 7
Note: This article is first published on Thursdays with updates included Friday morning to account for the latest injury news, projections, and the re...
Cole Wyman· · 11 min
When Will Aspen, Big Sky, and Breckenridge Open for the 2026-27 Winter Season?
Breckenridge, Big Sky, and Aspen Mountain are preparing for the 2026–27 ski season. Here’s how their scheduled openings compare with recent history an...
Peter Nickerson· · 6 min
The PredictQ Culture Radar - The Ballroom Takes the Board, and Jay-Z for the Halftime show
Dancing with the stars. Jay-Z at the Superbowl and Mamdani for Person of the Year...
Trevor Glisson· · 7 min
Kalshi and Polymarket Fantasy Finish Markets: Week 6
Note: This article is first published on Thursdays with updates included Friday morning to account for the latest injury news, projections, and the re...
Cole Wyman· · 8 min
Kalshi and Polymarket Fantasy Finish Markets: Week 5
Note: This article is first published on Thursdays with updates included Friday morning to account for the latest injury news, projections, and the re...
Cole Wyman· · 9 min
Week 3 Market Movers: Gibbs Pulls Away, and a Rookie Takes Over
It’s a wrap for Week 3. A week I am dubbing “the week of true colors” as we can no longer use arguments of rust to make excuses for player or team per...
Trevor Glisson· · 6 min
Analyzing Kalshi and Polymarket Weekly Fantasy Football Markets
If you have ever built a DFS lineup, you have already done the hard part of this trade. Whether you built Monte Carlo sims or cooked up a lineup on yo...
John Breslin· · 13 min
Week 2 Market Movers: 2 Carts and a Josh Allen
Week 2 did not ease anyone in. It took out two young Quarterbacks, gave us multiple shocking upsets that clogged up a coaching market, and Josh Allen ...
Trevor Glisson· · 7 min
What's Hot - The PredictQ Culture Radar
Week of September 21,2026 It’s VMA week: Madonna’s performing at the show for the first time in over two decades and Taylor Swift is in range of a rec...
Trevor Glisson· · 6 min