Research & Analysis
The edge, written down
Expert breakdowns, strategy notes, and the sharpest signals from the prediction market ecosystem.
Thursday Night Forecast: Week 4 NFL Markets, Weather and Matchups
Kevin Roth and Brian Hartman break down Week 4 NFL prediction markets, the weather that moves them, and the matchups worth a position. Watch live....
PredictQ Team· · 1 min read
Three Week 4 NFL Prediction Markets Where Our Model Sees a Different Price
The Football Gold model is designed to create an independent price for every NFL game. It combines our own power ratings (25%), a situational model ac...
Football Gold· · 5 min
Thursday Night Forecast: Week 3 NFL Markets, Weather and Matchups
Kevin Roth and Brian Hartman break down Week 3 NFL prediction markets, the weather that moves them, and the matchups worth a position. Watch live....
PredictQ Team· · 1 min
Week 2 Market Movers: 2 Carts and a Josh Allen
Week 2 did not ease anyone in. It took out two young Quarterbacks, gave us multiple shocking upsets that clogged up a coaching market, and Josh Allen ...
Trevor Glisson· · 7 min
Thursday Night Forecast: Week 2 NFL Markets, Weather and Matchups
Kevin Roth and Brian Hartman break down Week 2 NFL prediction markets, the weather that moves them, and the matchups worth a position. Watch live....
PredictQ Team· · 1 min
What Circa's Week 1 Ownership Tells Us About the Splash Field
Circa posts its survivor ownership every Saturday night. Week 1 shows how closely it maps to the Splash field, where the two diverge most, and what we...
PredictQ Team· · 2 min
Thursday Night Forecast: Week 1 NFL Markets, Weather and Matchups
Kevin Roth and Brian Hartman break down Week 1 NFL prediction markets, the weather that moves them, and the matchups worth a position. Watch the full ...
PredictQ Team· · 1 min
NFL Survivor Strategy: A Survival Guide to Large Field Contests.
How to actually win large-field survivor contests....
Trevor Glisson· · 8 min
Splash Survivor Week 1: The Chargers Massacre, Why Splitting the Book Worked, and a Sharper Field Than You Think
If you were among the roughly three-quarters of the field that survived the biggest Week 1 upset since 2018, congratulations. The Chargers went into S...
Trevor Glisson· · 8 min
Market Movers: The MVP Race, the Super Bowl Board, and Everything Week 1 Repriced
How the markets reacted to Week 1 results...
Trevor Glisson· · 8 min
Why I’m Trading Prediction Markets in 2026
Last August I wrote a column for 4for4 called “Why I’m Playing Daily Fantasy Sports in 2025. And Why You Should Too.” Somewhere in the second paragrap...
John Breslin· · 8 min
Survivor Freeroll Official Rules
Every rule for the SplashSports x Polymarket x PredictQ Survivor Freeroll: who can enter, what you owe us each day, how scoring works, how the winner ...
PredictQ Team· · 8 min
FREEROLL ALERT: We're Giving Away a $1,000 Seat in the $21M Survivor Pool
PredictQ is running a free 7-day Survivor contest on Polymarket. Win it and you get a $1,000 entry into the $21M guaranteed Splash Sports x Polymarket...
PredictQ Team· · 5 min
The QB Tax and Three Other Things You Need to Know Before Buying an NFL Futures Position
We are just four weeks out from the regular season, so let's talk strategy when it comes to buying Futures contracts for the upcoming NFL season....
Trevor Glisson· · 7 min
Who Plays NFL Week 1? Using Underdog Predict's Markets
As we approach the kickoff to the NFL season, and the fantasy football world is in the midst of drafting, on top of minds is who will or won't be read...
Justin Herzig· · 3 min
An Open Letter to the Company Acquiring Underdog Fantasy
My fear, which I know from talking to other badge-wearers is widely shared: What happens to the app I love?...
Trevor Glisson· · 8 min
Why I’m Forever Done with Futures Bets on Sportsbooks
Last year I placed a $100 bet on Drake Maye to win MVP at +6600 odds during the preseason. By late December, after Maye torched the Jets with five tou...
Justin Herzig· · 5 min
5 Ways to Make Money in Prediction Markets
The #1 question I get from people new to prediction markets is what should I be doing to make money. That’s no surprise given the way these platforms ...
Justin Herzig· · 9 min